In the coming year, some recent trends will continue and others will fade away. Which ones will sustain?

It is not always easy to predict, but looking at recent history and developments in other industries can help the fire service prognosticate.

There are likely to be some “flashes in the pans”—items, topics, and issues that will last a short time and fade away. Others will continue developing and solidify their place in the service, while others will get an introduction and may or may not pass the test of time.

One of the issues that will continue to grow and further establish roots is firefighter health/wellness/safety. Much attention has been brought to the forefront and rightfully so. This has been the result of passionate individuals, good organizations, and research from reputable institutions. This combination will ensure that this is not just a passing trend but will continue to transform the fire service. The increase in awareness along with the scientific evidence make it much harder for previously regarded “truths” to continue. It also helps one retirement at a time! There will always be naysayers (remember those who didn’t accept the proof that the earth was not flat?) who will resist hard evidence, looking to maintain the status quo. But there is too much critical mass with this subject to derail it. We can expect to see more research that either refutes previously held axioms or confirms instinctive thoughts.

Those who provide the apparatus and equipment, along with the services, that allow the fire service to deliver have certainly taken notice of this trend. The long-time supporters of the fire service have always been considerate of firefighter issues. This will continue with the newer information, and they will adjust their products and services. The “friends” of the fire service will remain friends.

We can also expect to see other companies enter the market. This can be those that have been engaged in health and wellness issues in other occupations or new companies. Regardless, there will be more options, and with this comes the need for the fire service to do its research and due diligence when evaluating products and services.

One of the issues that arises with most changes is the influx of new ideas and products related to the new program. The question becomes one of whether there is benefit to the long-term development. As an example, I was reading recently about the many companies trying to provide products and services to address the tragic mass shootings of late, particularly those in schools. They all claim to have the “silver bullet” that will guarantee protection. Of course, many in law enforcement and the school systems are taking the time to evaluate each one to make sure they can deliver on their promises.

Within the fire service, we can expect to see similar introductions in our “hot topics.” Many will be in response to recent revelations about the inordinate impact the job has on cancer rates. It is safe to say that some will be beneficial while others will have no or limited impact. It will be up to those in the fire service to do the proper vetting so that they get what they were <